Sun 17 Aug 2008
Irish policy makers need to address the fall-off in the number of nascent entrepreneurs
Posted by ffullard under Entrepreneurship , Small Business , Trends , Business , IrelandNo Comments
While I find most of what is contained in the GEM Report on Entrepreneurship in Ireland 2007 to be positive, and I have written about a number of the findings in previous posts, I have a major unease about one particular element of the report – that relating to the trend in terms of the number of nascent entrepreneurs in the country. My unease is added to by virtue of the fact that, while the data is there for all to see, the authors of the report make no mention of it at all in the text of the report. So: have they missed something? Am I misinterpreting the data? Am I allowing my views to be coloured by my own personal perspective? Whats up?
I had beter explain.
I’ll start with my own personal perspective.
As I said in an earlier post GEM rates countries on how entrepreneurial they are by combining two separate measurements. The first relates to the number of nascent entrepreneurs, being those that are actively planning a new venture, measured as a % of those aged between 18 and 64 years in the overall population. The second relates to the number of new firm entrepreneurs, being those who at least part own and manage a new business that has been in existence for not more than 42 months, again measured as a % of those aged between 18 and 64 years in the overall population.
While both are obviously important I would argue that for policy makers looking to the future the critical issue is to ensure that we maximize the number of nascent entrepreneurs. They can, after all, do something about that figure, whereas the outcome for new business starts is essentially historical and, by the time it is measured, beyond the control or influence of policy makers. It may indicate how effective past policies have been, but, particularly in a period of accelerating economic change, we know only too well that past success is no guarantee of continuing future prosperity. At least that’s my personal perspective.
Now to my unease.
Although the body of the report makes no reference to it, the data in Table 1.3 on page 20 of the report clearly indicates that in 2007 we witnessed a decline in the number of nascent entrepreneurs. It declined from 4.5% in 2006 to 4.2% in 2007. But the level for 2006 was itself down from a level of 5.7% in 2005. While the figure for 2005 did represent an increase over the level of the previous year, the data for the past 5 years indicates that the outcome for 2007 was the lowest for any of the past five years.
The average for the 4 years prior to 2007 was 4.9%, and so, at 4.2%, the outcome for 2007 must, as a minimum, be seen as disappointing. I do not see it as a one-off that we can ignore. To me it represents a worrying trend and one that we urgently need to do something about. The issue is a simple one – if the numbers actively planning to start new business ventures continues to decline over time, how can be maintain our current levels of entrepreneurship, let alone increase them?
I have summarised the figures in the table below. Look at it and then you can make your own mind up.




